Risks/threats

Countries at high-risk of possible El Niño impact, July-December 2023

Author(s)
IASC Global ENSO Analysis Cell
Description
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) declared the onset of El Niño conditions in early July as a result of rapid and substantial changes in oceanic conditions observed in recent months. According to the latest predictions from the WMO Global Producing Centres of Long-Range Forecasts, there is a 90% probability of El Niño persisting during the second half of 2023.